Spread +3.5 • Memphis Grizzlies

Memphis Grizzlies +3.5 --106 — lining up factors, this is a classic spread where defensive matchups and game tempo will determine the margin. If Memphis controls some possessions and avoids a blowout, that 3.5-point cushion is meaningful value relative to a razor-thin projected differential. The +3.5 spread means Memphis can lose by less than four or win outright, reflecting an anticipation of a close contest and making this a play on a tight, defensively influenced game flow.