Spread +2.5 • Washington Wizards

Play: Washington Wizards +2.5 --105, 4 units. The reasoning is straightforward: matchup factors point to a competitive game with limited separation, so taking the underdog with a small cushion preserves upside while managing downside. The +2.5 line means the Wizards can lose by up to 2 points or win outright, which aligns with my expectation of a close, controlled game where a couple possessions determine the final margin.